Kris Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Kris Murray

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 6, 2024

Updated Mar 7, 2024 3:11 AM EST

Analysis

Kris Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kris Murray has converted 47.6% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 9.1% higher than he's made overall this year while playing at home.
Kris Murray has attempted 4.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's attempted overall this year.
Kris Murray has been on the court for 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 16.2 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely see a spike in plays in this game from facing the 3rd-fastest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers rank 15thbest in in the NBA playing at home with 13.8 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Kris Murray has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home.
In terms of shooting, the Trail Blazers's poor 108.5 points per game while playing at home comes in as the 2nd-weakest in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Thunder is a challenging one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have posted the 14th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (25.5%).
The 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Trail Blazers.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have given up the most offensive boards per game (12.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).