Kris Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2024

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Kris Murray

NBA · Player Props

Kris Murray

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 4, 2024

Updated Mar 5, 2024 1:21 AM EST

Analysis

Kris Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kris Murray has attempted 7.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Kris Murray has attempted 3.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
Kris Murray has tallied 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 16.7 more than he's tallied overall this season.
The Trail Blazers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has captured 10.3 offensive boards per game (9th-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus chances for offense).

Favors Under

Kris Murray has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Trail Blazers rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a hard one for scoring; the opposition's starting SFs have put up the 13th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (40.6%).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Trail Blazers.

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