Kris Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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Kris Murray

NBA · Player Props

Kris Murray

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 3:08 AM EST

Analysis

Kris Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kris Murray has converted 55.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 12.6% more than he's sunk in all games this year while on his home court.
Kris Murray has converted 54.8% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 13.2% higher than he's converted over the course of the season at home.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 three attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, marking this as a favorable matchup.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers rank 14thbest in in the league with the home court advantage with 13.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year, opposing squads have snagged 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The Trail Blazers check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Portland Trail Blazers are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from facing the most lethargic tempo road offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat).
The matchup vs. Miami may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Heat are the visiting team (10th-least in the NBA).

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