Kris Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2024

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Kris Murray

NBA · Player Props

Kris Murray

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 23, 2024

Updated Feb 24, 2024 2:03 AM EST

Analysis

Kris Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kris Murray has successfully made 59.6% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 14.1% more than he's converted overall this year on his home court.
Kris Murray has converted 70.6% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 21.5% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year when playing at home.
Out of all players in the league, Kris Murray slots into the 13th percentile for personal fouls, compiling just 0.8 fouls per game at home this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely see a spike in possessions today from competing against the 10th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).
The Trail Blazers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to offense, the Portland Trail Blazers's unimpressive 101.8 points per game comes in as the lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Over the last 25 games, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 15.6 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, creating a hard matchup for offensive performance.
The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.

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