Kris Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

NBA · Player Props

Kris Murray

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

LA Clippers vs Portland Trail Blazers · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 3:45 AM EST

Analysis

Kris Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kris Murray has successfully made 75.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 25.0% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year while playing on the road.
Among all players in the NBA, Kris Murray places in the 7th percentile for personal fouls, logging just 0.8 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.
This matchup is a challenging one for shots from the field; when the Clippers are the visiting squad, opposing squads have averaged the 3rd-least baskets per game in the NBA against them this year (38.7).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 13 games while on their home court.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers rank 2ndbest in in the NBA with 10.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 13 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Kris Murray ranks in the 11th percentile for playing time, registering just 10.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
The Trail Blazers have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The Clippers have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Portland Trail Blazers.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have snagged 11.6 offensive boards per game (8th-most in the NBA) against the LA Clippers (preserving possessions that can lead to further chances for offense).
Among all players in the NBA, Kris Murray measures in the 2nd percentile for foul-shot effectiveness while on his home court with a a poor 37.5% rate this year.