Kris Murray Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2024

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Kris Murray

NBA · Player Props

Kris Murray

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Assists

Portland Trail Blazers vs Charlotte Hornets · Feb 25, 2024

Updated Feb 26, 2024 2:17 AM EST

Analysis

Kris Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kris Murray has been called for 1.0 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 21st percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone.
The Portland Trail Blazers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games when they are playing at home, the other team has nabbed 8.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Hornets (turning over possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus chances for offense).
Kris Murray figures to get a boost in effectiveness for all stats in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Trail Blazers are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-least up-tempo pace road team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Charlotte Hornets).

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