Kris Dunn Points - Player Prop Bet 5/3/2025

NBA · Player Props

Kris Dunn

G · LA Clippers

Points

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers · May 3, 2025

Updated May 3, 2025 11:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Kris Dunn Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+128/-167).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -167.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kris Dunn has converted 46.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 9.1% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have scored 20.4 points per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, resulting in a strong matchup for offensive output.
Kris Dunn has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games on the road, 25.0% more than he's converted over the course of the year without the home court advantage.
In terms of getting to the foul line, the Clippers's fantastic 22.2 foul shots per game while on the road ranks 9th-best in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Denver may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 5.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Denver Nuggets are playing at home (2nd-most in the league).

Favors Under

Kris Dunn has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (94th percentile).
The least up-tempo tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the LA Clippers.
The LA Clippers will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 4th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds save possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, but the Clippers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA while playing away from home with only 8.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Kris Dunn will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player production across the board.