Kris Dunn Points - Player Prop Bet 4/29/2025

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Kris Dunn

NBA · Player Props

Kris Dunn

G · LA Clippers

Points

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers · Apr 29, 2025

Updated Apr 30, 2025 1:58 AM UTC

Analysis

Kris Dunn Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-102/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kris Dunn has converted 49.3% of his treys over the last 15 games, 12.2% higher than he's made from three in all games this season.
The LA Clippers check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have put up 20.4 points per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, labeling this as a strong matchup for offensive production.
Kris Dunn has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 33.3% more than he's put through the net in all games this season.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have attempted 5.0 foul shots per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Kris Dunn has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (94th percentile).
The LA Clippers have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The LA Clippers will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).
The LA Clippers have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Kris Dunn will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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