Kris Dunn Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Kris Dunn

G · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 5, 2025

Updated Apr 6, 2025 3:09 AM UTC

Analysis

Kris Dunn Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kris Dunn has sunk 55.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games at home, 16.8% higher than he's made in all games this year while on his home court.
Kris Dunn has been on the court for a whopping 23.9 minutes per game this season, significantly higher than his 19.0 minutes per game last season.
With respect to shooting, the Clippers's stellar 118.8 points per game rates 8th-best in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup against the Mavericks is a positive one for three-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 5th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).
The LA Clippers are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Favors Under

Kris Dunn has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The clash with Klay Thompson places in the 21st percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting SGs draining only 42.7% of their field goals this year.
The 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the LA Clippers.
The Clippers check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.