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Kris Dunn

Kris Dunn Points
Player Prop - 4/5/2025

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks

Kris Dunn Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kris Dunn has sunk 55.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games at home, 16.8% higher than he's made in all games this year while on his home court.

Kris Dunn has been on the court for a whopping 23.9 minutes per game this season, significantly higher than his 19.0 minutes per game last season.

With respect to shooting, the Clippers's stellar 118.8 points per game rates 8th-best in the league over the last 10 games.

The matchup against the Mavericks is a positive one for three-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 5th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).

The LA Clippers are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kris Dunn has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The clash with Klay Thompson places in the 21st percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting SGs draining only 42.7% of their field goals this year.

The 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the LA Clippers.

The Clippers check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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