Kris Dunn Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Kris Dunn

G · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Miami Heat · Jan 13, 2025

Updated Jan 14, 2025 3:34 AM UTC

Analysis

Kris Dunn Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+108/-132).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Kris Dunn measures in the 77th percentile for three-point performance while on his home court with a remarkable 40.0% rate this year.
When it comes to shots from downtown, the LA Clippers's fantastic 39.9% rate of drained threes when playing at home settles in as the 2nd-most in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup against the Heat is a good one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3).
The 4th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Clippers.
Kris Dunn will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually boosts player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Kris Dunn lands in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, posting a colossal 2.4 fouls per game at home this year.
The Clippers will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace team in the league this year (the Miami Heat).
The LA Clippers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kris Dunn has successfully made a measly 47.2% of his foul shot attempts this season, a significant dropoff from his 69.6 rate last season.
The matchup against Miami may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Miami Heat are away from home (4th-least in the NBA).