Kris Dunn Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2024

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Kris Dunn

NBA · Player Props

Kris Dunn

G · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 27, 2024

Updated Dec 28, 2024 2:44 AM UTC

Analysis

Kris Dunn Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-104/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Clippers will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from facing the 7th-most up-tempo pace away team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Warriors).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers grade out 7th-best in in the league playing at home with 10.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Kris Dunn has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 53.3% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Warriors, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Kris Dunn has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
As it relates to shooting, the Clippers's lackluster 110.4 points per game while on their home court rates 8th-fewest in the league this year.
The matchup against Golden State is a difficult one for three-point shots; when the Golden State Warriors are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have put up the lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (21.6%).

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