Kris Dunn Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2024

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Kris Dunn

NBA · Player Props

Kris Dunn

G · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 22, 2024

Updated Nov 23, 2024 3:19 AM UTC

Analysis

Kris Dunn Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kris Dunn has sunk 53.8% of his shot attempts from the field this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 18.1 points per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, resulting in a good matchup for offensive production.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank best in in the NBA while on their home court with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 4.7 foul shots per game (highest in the league) against the Kings, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.
Kris Dunn should see a rise in productivity in all stat categories in light of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

In regard to scoring, the Clippers's poor 107.9 points per game while at home measures as the 4th-lowest in the league this year.
The LA Clippers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.
The LA Clippers are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from facing the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Kings).
In contrast to last year's 69.6% mark, Kris Dunn's foul-shot effectiveness has regressed this year to 33.3%.

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