Kris Dunn Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2024

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Kris Dunn

NBA · Player Props

Kris Dunn

G · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Orlando Magic · Nov 20, 2024

Updated Nov 21, 2024 3:59 AM UTC

Analysis

Kris Dunn Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kris Dunn has converted 54.9% of his shots from the field this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The matchup against Orlando is a positive one; when the Orlando Magic are the visiting squad, they have allowed the most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs this year (20.2).
The LA Clippers have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Clippers are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from being pitted against the 6th-speediest tempo away offense in the league over the last 8 games (the Magic).
The Clippers rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Clippers have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA on their home court this year.
Among all players in the league, Kris Dunn rates in the 4th percentile for foul-shot performance with the home court advantage with a lackluster 41.7% rate this year.

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