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Kris Dunn

Kris Dunn Points
Player Prop - 3/29/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz

Kris Dunn Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kris Dunn has successfully made a terrific 4.5 buckets per game this year, significantly more than his 3.1 rate last year.

Kris Dunn has successfully made an impressive 38.9% of his treys this year, a significant increase from his 12.5 rate last year.

This matchup is a hard one for three-point attempts; opposing squads have totaled the least three attempts per game in the league over the last 15 games when the Spurs have the home court advantage (28.7).

The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Spurs have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Jazz.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kris Dunn has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (85th percentile).

On their home court, the Spurs have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.0) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Utah Jazz have been poor at getting to the free throw line away from their home court: 6th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 21.6 foul shots per game.

This matchup may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team have attempted a massive 25.7 free throws per game over the last 25 games (4th-most in the league).

Kris Dunn will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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