Klay Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/5/2025

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Klay Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Klay Thompson

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Nov 5, 2025

Updated Nov 6, 2025 1:02 AM UTC

Analysis

Klay Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 4th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
As a team, the Mavericks have been very successful at drawing fouls: 4th-best in the NBA since the start of last season, averaging 23.5 free throw attempts per game.
The matchup vs. New Orleans may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.3 free throws per game over the last 19 games when the New Orleans Pelicans are the visiting team (8th-most in the league).

Favors Under

This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 9.1 field goal attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans, identifying this as a challenging matchup.
The Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with just 8.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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