Klay Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2025

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Klay Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Klay Thompson

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 3, 2025

Updated Nov 4, 2025 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Klay Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Mavericks have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA as the visting team since the start of last season.
As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been terrific at drawing fouls: 4th-best in the league since the start of last season, averaging 23.5 foul shots per game.
The matchup vs. Houston is a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a colossal 3.5 foul shots per game this year when the Rockets are at home (6th-most in the league).

Favors Under

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 26.1% on three-pointers (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, resulting in a challenging matchup.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce plays for the Dallas Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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