Klay Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2025

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Klay Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Klay Thompson

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 16, 2025

Updated Apr 17, 2025 1:18 AM UTC

Analysis

Klay Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's exceptional 48.2% field goal rate without the home court advantage places 3rd-most in the league this year.
This year, opposing starting SGs have scored 18.1 points per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Kings, labeling this as a positive matchup for offensive output.
The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.
This year, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 4.7 free throws per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 14.7 mark, Klay Thompson's field goal attempts have fallen this season to 12.2 per game.
In contrast to last season's 9.0 clip, Klay Thompson's three-point attempts have diminished this season to 7.7 per game.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).
The Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Klay Thompson stands to see a decline in efficiency across the board due to playing away from home in this contest.

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