Klay Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2025

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Klay Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Klay Thompson

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 11, 2025

Updated Apr 12, 2025 2:29 AM UTC

Analysis

Klay Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-139/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Klay Thompson has attempted 9.2 threes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this year at home.
With respect to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's impressive 50.3% field goal percentage settles in as the 3rd-highest in the league over the last 15 games.
The 8th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Mavericks.
The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from facing the speediest pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Raptors).
Klay Thompson has converted 95.8% of his foul shot attempts playing at home this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

The matchup against Toronto is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Toronto Raptors are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 2nd-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.3).
The Mavericks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.2 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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