Klay Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2025

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Klay Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Klay Thompson

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 5, 2025

Updated Apr 6, 2025 3:59 AM UTC

Analysis

Klay Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Klay Thompson has sunk 2.9 threes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Mavericks have been the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing on the road this year.
The 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
Klay Thompson has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 8.2% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year.
Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Clippers, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 11.6 shot attempts per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Clippers, labeling this as a hard matchup.
The Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Clippers).
The Mavericks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Klay Thompson stands to experience a decrease in performance in all stat categories on account of being on the road in this contest.

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