Klay Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2025

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Klay Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Klay Thompson

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 31, 2025

Updated Apr 1, 2025 2:34 AM UTC

Analysis

Klay Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Klay Thompson has attempted 14.3 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games while on his home court, 2.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home.
Klay Thompson has sunk 3.7 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 more than he's converted overall this season at home.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 2nd-most efficient shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. the Nets is a strong one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.2).
The matchup with Keon Johnson places in the 97th percentile with opposing starting SGs making a monstrous 39.5% of their shots from downtown this year.

Favors Under

The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Brooklyn may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 0.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Nets are on the road (least in the league).

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