Klay Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2025

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Klay Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Klay Thompson

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 29, 2025

Updated Mar 30, 2025 1:29 AM UTC

Analysis

Klay Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-141/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -141.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Mavericks rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.
The Mavericks will likely see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Bulls).
Klay Thompson has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 11.7% more than he's made in all games this season when playing on the road.

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 9.0 rate, Klay Thompson's shot attempts from beyond the arc have tailed off this year to 7.7 per game.
The matchup vs. the Bulls is a hard one for shot attempts from the field; opposing starting SGs have averaged the least FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (10.6).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the league with a mere 7.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
This year, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.7 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls, struggling to get to the charity stripe.
Klay Thompson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually decreases player production across the board.

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