Klay Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2025

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Klay Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Klay Thompson

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 7, 2025

Updated Mar 8, 2025 4:35 AM UTC

Analysis

Klay Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Klay Thompson has attempted 14.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Klay Thompson has successfully made 4.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's converted overall this year.
In terms of 3-point shots, the Dallas Mavericks's impressive 36.8% rate of drained threes ranks 8th-best in the league this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest tempo in the league this year, which should boost plays for the Dallas Mavericks.
Klay Thompson will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

The matchup against Memphis is a difficult one for field goal attempts; when the Memphis Grizzlies are on the road, opposing starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (9.7).
The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 4thworst in in the league with just 9.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
The matchup against the Grizzlies may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 12 games (3rd-least in the NBA).

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