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Klay Thompson

Klay Thompson Points
Player Prop - 1/7/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers

Klay Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-139/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Klay Thompson has attempted 8.0 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league.

The 6th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Mavericks have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Klay Thompson has made 93.1% of his foul shots this year, placing him in the 96th percentile among all players in the league.

Klay Thompson will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually increases stat production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 5th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.

This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 11.7 field goal attempts per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the Lakers, marking this as a hard matchup.

The Mavericks will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo visiting team in the league over the last 10 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).

Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.7 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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