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Klay Thompson

Klay Thompson Points
Player Prop - 12/27/2024

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks

Klay Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Klay Thompson has notched 18.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.1 higher than he's notched in all games this season.

Klay Thompson has converted 4.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 7th-best in in the league on the road with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.4 free throws per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Suns, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In regard to 3-point attempts, the 8th-least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Mavericks.

The matchup against the Suns is a hard one for three-point shots; opposing starting SGs have averaged the least threes per game in the league this year (1.5).

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns).

Klay Thompson will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to lower player production for all stats.

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