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Klay Thompson

Klay Thompson Points
Player Prop - 12/7/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Klay Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Klay Thompson has been called for 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least foul-prone players in the league (22nd percentile).
  • The 5th-speediest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
  • The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Toronto Raptors).
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 5th-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
  • The matchup against the Toronto Raptors may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (7th-most in the league).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Klay Thompson has sunk 36.9% of his shots from the field this year, putting him in the 13th percentile among all players in the league.
  • In comparison to last year's 9.0 rate, Klay Thompson's shots from behind the three-point arc have declined this year to 7.6 per game.
  • With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 4th-least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Mavericks.
  • This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have totaled 3.1 3-point attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors, labeling this as a difficult matchup.
  • Klay Thompson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to reduce player performance in all facets of the game.

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