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Klay Thompson

Klay Thompson Points
Player Prop - 11/24/2024

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks

Klay Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson registers in the 95th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, tallying 8.2 per game this year.

Klay Thompson has committed 1.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least foul-prone players in the NBA (21st percentile).

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 12.2 shot attempts per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, making this a favorable matchup.

The rate of 3-point shots made against Jimmy Butler has been quite high (48.3%) when guarding other starting SFs this year (97th percentile).

The Mavericks rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In regard to three-point attempts, the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The 8th-most lethargic tempo visiting offense in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Mavericks are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Miami Heat).

Klay Thompson stands to suffer a drop-off in performance in all facets of the game on account of being on the road in this matchup.

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