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Klay Thompson

Klay Thompson Points
Player Prop - 3/11/2024

San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors

Klay Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Klay Thompson has played 29.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 79th percentile.

The matchup vs. the San Antonio Spurs is a positive one for three-point shots; opposing starting SGs have shot for the 8th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (37.5%).

The speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.

The Spurs have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Warriors.

The Golden State Warriors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Klay Thompson has attempted a lowly 8.7 3-point shots per game this year, significantly less than his 10.6 rate last year.

With respect to getting to the charity stripe, the Warriors's unimpressive 18.1 free throws per game ranks 3rd-worst in the league over the last 25 games.

Klay Thompson will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually decreases player performance for all stats.

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