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Klay Thompson

Klay Thompson Points
Player Prop - 3/6/2024

Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Klay Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-151/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -151.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Klay Thompson has averaged 29.5 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
  • This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 43.5% on threes (26th-highest in the league) against the Bucks, labeling this as a favorable matchup.
  • The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
  • The Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games without the home court advantage, which should increase plays for the Warriors.
  • The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Relative to last season's 17.9 mark, Klay Thompson's field goal attempts have tailed off this season to 14.3 per game.
  • Klay Thompson has attempted a mere 8.7 three-pointers per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 10.6 rate last season.
  • Klay Thompson has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, 0.1 higher than he's committed over the course of the year at home.
  • With respect to offense, the Warriors's poor 44.6% field goal rate on their home court measures as the 6th-weakest in the league over the last 5 games.

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