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Klay Thompson

Klay Thompson Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat

Klay Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Klay Thompson has successfully made 8.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Klay Thompson has attempted 10.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.

Klay Thompson has averaged 29.7 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The matchup against Miami is a good one for three-point attempts; when the Heat are on the road, opposing starting SFs have tallied the 28th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.8).

The Golden State Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Klay Thompson has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game at home this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled when it comes to technicals.

As it relates to offense, the Golden State Warriors's unimpressive 45.3% field goal percentage as the home team comes in as the 3rd-weakest in the NBA this year.

The 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Warriors.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the Warriors.

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