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Klay Thompson

Klay Thompson Points
Player Prop - 11/28/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors

 
 
 
Klay Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Compared to last season's 7.7 mark, Klay Thompson's shots from the field hit have regressed this season to 5.3 per game.
  • This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have registered 19.8 points per game (28th-highest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, branding this as a positive matchup for offensive productivity.
  • The Kings have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to raise possessions for the Warriors.
  • The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • While on their home court, the Sacramento Kings have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Klay Thompson has attempted just 7.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 10.6 mark last season.
  • In comparison to last year's 33.0 mark, Klay Thompson's playing time has fallen this year to 28.5 minutes per game.
  • The Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league with the home court advantage this year.
  • Klay Thompson will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsen player production across the board.

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