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Klay Thompson

Klay Thompson Points
Player Prop - 4/15/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors

Klay Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Klay Thompson has successfully made a terrific 4.4 3-point shots per game this year, a big improvement over his 3.5 rate last year.

Klay Thompson has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The matchup vs. the Kings is a favorable one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 30th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (13.3).

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league this year.

The Golden State Warriors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Klay Thompson has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled when it comes to getting T'ed up.

The Kings have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Warriors.

As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the free throw line: worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 20.2 free throws per game.

Klay Thompson will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player production in all stat categories.

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