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Klay Thompson

Klay Thompson Points
Player Prop - 4/9/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors

Klay Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Klay Thompson has converted a whopping 4.3 3-point shots per game this year, a significant increase from his 3.5 mark last year.

Klay Thompson has played 32.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 88th percentile.

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league this year.

The Trail Blazers have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Warriors.

The Golden State Warriors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Klay Thompson has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled when it comes to getting T'ed up.

The matchup vs. Portland is a challenging one for attempts from downtown; when the Trail Blazers are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.3).

Playing at home, the Trail Blazers have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been lousy at drawing fouls: worst in the league this year, totaling a mere 20.2 free throw attempts per game.

Klay Thompson will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production in all stat categories.

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