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K.J. Simpson

K.J. Simpson Points
Player Prop - 2/27/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Charlotte Hornets

 
 
 
K.J. Simpson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -137.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • KJ Simpson has attempted 11.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
  • KJ Simpson has tallied 29.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.0 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
  • The Hornets have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets grade out 4th-best in in the league with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
  • KJ Simpson has made 92.9% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 14.7% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With respect to scoring, the Charlotte Hornets's unimpressive 99.4 points per game comes in as the lowest in the league over the last 15 games.
  • The matchup vs. Dallas is a hard one for three-point attempts; when the Mavericks are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 4th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.6).
  • The Hornets are expected to see a decline in plays today from competing against the 7th-slowest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
  • Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.
  • KJ Simpson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce player performance across the board.

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