Killian Hayes Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 20, 2024 8:07 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pistons have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Pistons will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games (the Bucks).
The Pistons check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Killian Hayes is expected to get a boost in efficiency for all stats due to owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has compiled 0.3 offensive boards per game this year, ranking him among the worst players in the NBA in this category: 24th percentile.
The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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