Killian Hayes Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Washington Wizards vs Detroit Pistons · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 15, 2024 8:22 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pistons have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games as the visting team.
The Wizards have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Detroit Pistons.
The Pistons check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has totaled 0.3 offensive rebounds per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 23rd percentile -- among the NBA's trailers by this metric.
The Wizards have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.2) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Killian Hayes will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player production across the board.

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