Killian Hayes Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 1:18 AM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has averaged a whopping 0.8 offensive boards per game this season, significantly more than his 0.3 offensive boards per game last season.
Among all players in the league, Killian Hayes registers in the 78th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 29.9 minutes per game on the road this year.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 7 games while on the road.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to increase plays for the Pistons.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 13thbest in in the league while on their home court with 15.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game while at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
Away from their home court, the Milwaukee Bucks have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Killian Hayes ought to see a decline in production in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

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