Killian Hayes Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/5/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 5, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 4:02 AM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 10th-fastest tempo road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 6 games (the Phoenix Suns).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 7thbest in in the league while playing at home with 11.3 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
Killian Hayes will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has posted 0.4 offensive boards per game since the start of last season, putting him among the worst players in the NBA by this metric: 18th percentile.
Killian Hayes has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

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