Killian Hayes Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Brooklyn Nets · Apr 5, 2023

Updated Apr 5, 2023 8:26 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has played 35.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 8.0 higher than he's played in all games this year at home.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Killian Hayes will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally boosts player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.
The Nets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should decrease plays for the Pistons.
The Nets have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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