Killian Hayes Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 30, 2023 2:01 AM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has tallied 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 more than he's tallied overall this year.
The Thunder have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 25 games in their home city, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has put up 0.2 offensive rebounds per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 15th percentile -- among the league trailers by this metric.
Killian Hayes has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (93rd percentile).
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Thunder have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Killian Hayes will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

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