Killian Hayes Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 16, 2023

Updated Mar 16, 2023 10:42 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has totaled 3.8 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's totaled in all games this season at home.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should boost opportunities for the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

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