Killian Hayes Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 3:41 AM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +101 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has posted 3.8 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.0 more than he's posted in all games this season at home.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Pacers have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise possessions for the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Killian Hayes will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increases player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
While on the road, the Pacers have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

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