Killian Hayes Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2023

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 9, 2023

Updated Mar 9, 2023 11:57 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has totaled 3.8 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's totaled over the course of the year at home.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Hornets have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league without the home court advantage this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Killian Hayes will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally improves player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Hornets have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

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