Killian Hayes Points - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 7, 2024

Updated Feb 8, 2024 3:52 AM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Detroit Pistons.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons rank 11thbest in in the league on the road with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The Sacramento Kings have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Kings may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 7.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (30th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Killian Hayes lands in the 15th percentile for shooting performance with a a bad 37.7% rate this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Killian Hayes ranks in the 19th percentile for three-point performance with a a weak 25.3% rate this year.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup against Sacramento is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Sacramento Kings are at home, the other team's starting PGs have put up the 7th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (30.6%).
Killian Hayes will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually decreases player production in all facets of the game.