Killian Hayes Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 24, 2024

Updated Jan 25, 2024 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Pistons.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 10thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, their opposition has nabbed 7.8 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Charlotte Hornets (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to additional opportunities for offense).
Killian Hayes has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 28.9% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.
Killian Hayes figures to see a spike in production in all facets of the game in light of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 10.7 rate, Killian Hayes's field goal attempts have regressed this season to 7.1 per game.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to three-point attempts.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 11.3 field goal attempts per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Hornets, identifying this as a hard matchup.
The Detroit Pistons are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
This year, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (13th-lowest in the league) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.