Killian Hayes Points - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2024

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 22, 2024

Updated Jan 23, 2024 12:10 AM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a positive one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (21.7).
The 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Pistons.
The Bucks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should increase plays for the Pistons.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 8thbest in in the league with 11.3 offensive boards per game this year.
Killian Hayes has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 28.9% more than he's sunk overall this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Killian Hayes registers in the 14th percentile for field goal performance while at home with a a bad 35.4% rate this year.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to three-point attempts.
The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

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