Killian Hayes Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 20, 2024 8:22 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+110/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Bucks is a good one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (21.7).
The Pistons have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Pistons will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games (the Bucks).
The Pistons check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Killian Hayes has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 28.9% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Killian Hayes lands in the 16th percentile for field goal prowess at home with a an unimpressive 35.5% rate this year.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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