Killian Hayes Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 17, 2024 11:57 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pistons have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Away from home, the Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Killian Hayes has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 28.9% more than he's converted overall this season.
Killian Hayes will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually boosts player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Killian Hayes has attempted 0.8 three-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.1 lower than he's attempted over the course of the year.
The Pistons have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while playing at home this year.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a challenging one for field goals; the opposing team's starting PGs have shot for the 15th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (39.8%).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Detroit Pistons.
Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (11th-fewest in the league) against the Timberwolves, making it tough to get to the foul line.