Killian Hayes Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Points

Washington Wizards vs Detroit Pistons · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 15, 2024 8:13 PM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against Washington is a favorable one; when the Washington Wizards are at home, they have given up the 27th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (21.8).
The Pistons have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games as the visting team.
The Wizards have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Detroit Pistons.
The Pistons check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Killian Hayes has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 28.9% more than he's converted overall this season.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Killian Hayes measures in the 16th percentile for shooting efficiency while playing away from home with a a bad 35.7% rate this year.
As it relates to shots from downtown, the Pistons's unimpressive 10.6 drained threes per game ranks lowest in the NBA this year.
The Wizards have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.2) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Killian Hayes will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player production across the board.

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