Killian Hayes Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Houston Rockets · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Houston is a favorable one for field goals; when the Houston Rockets are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have compiled the 22nd-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (45.5%).
The 6th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Pistons check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Killian Hayes has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 30.6% higher than he's converted overall this year.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 5.2 free throws per game (26th-most in the league) against the Houston Rockets, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Killian Hayes lands in the 9th percentile for field goal ability with a a weak 33.7% rate this year.
With respect to offense, the Detroit Pistons's feeble 110.2 points per game playing at home comes in as the 4th-worst in the NBA this year.
The Detroit Pistons will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year (the Rockets).
Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team has snagged 12.2 offensive boards per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Rockets (preserving possessions that can result in additional opportunities for offense).

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