Killian Hayes Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Killian Hayes

NBA · Player Props

Killian Hayes

G · Detroit Pistons

Points

Utah Jazz vs Detroit Pistons · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Killian Hayes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+109/-141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Killian Hayes has committed a mere 1.9 personal fouls per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 2.9 fouls per game last year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have averaged 34.9% on threes (10th-worst in the league) vs. the Jazz, marking this as a difficult matchup.
The Pistons have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 10 games.
The Detroit Pistons will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from competing against the 6th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Utah Jazz).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 8thbest in in the NBA away from home with 12.2 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 10.7 mark, Killian Hayes's field goal attempts have tailed off this season to 8.1 per game.
Killian Hayes has attempted 1.1 threes per game over the last 15 games, 1.1 less than he's attempted over the course of the year.
In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Pistons.
The Utah Jazz have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Jazz have the home court advantage, opposing teams have attempted a massive 25.4 free throws per game this year (5th-most in the NBA).

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